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Former President Bill Clinton and President Barack Obama attending a press conference in Washington, D.C. in December. With President Obama at a pivotal moment in his presidency, many are wondering if he will be able to make a comeback similar to Clinton's.
Jim Watson/AFP/Getty Images
Former President Bill Clinton and President Barack Obama attending a press conference in Washington, D.C. in December. With President Obama at a pivotal moment in his presidency, many are wondering if he will be able to make a comeback similar to Clinton's.
William Kristol is editor of The Weekly Standard.
So the much-anticipated pivot to the center in the State of the Union speech has happened. As pivots go, President Obama's wasn't the most elegant — there were no triple lutzes or extended camel spins — but he didn't fall on his face either. It seems clear that, for the next two years at least, President Obama is going to give us a break from claims of transforming America, a la FDR, and will work on triangulating to stay in office, a la Bill Clinton. The question is, can Obama pull a Clinton?
We're skeptical.
First, Clinton's pivot in 1995 was all well and good, but the reason he was reelected in 1996 was that the economy was growing at more than 4 percent, and unemployment on Election Day was 5.4 percent. The budget deficit was lower than it had been when Clinton took office. His landmark piece of economic legislation, the 1993 budget — passed despite Republican opposition — seemed more or less vindicated by events.
Will the real world be as friendly to the incumbent president in November 2012? It's doubtful. Moreover, to the degree the economy is coming back, will Obama's stimulus — passed despite Republican